Skip to main content


Does this really translate into actual votes?

Donald Trump's image among U.S. women tilts strongly negative, with 70% of women holding an unfavorable opinion and 23% a favorable opinion of the Republican front-runner in March. Trump's unfavorable rating among women has been high since Gallup began tracking it last July, but after rising slightly last fall, it has increased even further since January.

No matter how you look at it, the demographic shift towards a country run by a Democratic Party in charge of the Executive and a Republican Party in charge of at least the House of Representatives continues without pause. Were it not for Gerrymandering, the very real possibility of a country run exclusively by Democrats would be a done deal on January 20, 2017. And no matter what the obstructionists say, the Supreme Court is about to flip liberal. They cannot hold back the waters.

If we had real leadership in the Democratic Party, there'd be a quick end to the challenge of Bernie Sanders (he is, more or less, acting in his own self-interests right now with a view towards fundraising and media appearances in the future). There would be a nationwide effort to recruit solid candidates for the House of Representatives in every single district. There would be a concerted effort to take the Senate. But, right now, I see none of those things. I see paralysis and uncertainty where there should be a daily effort to capitalize on the fact that Donald Trump has a cabal of criminals working for him. I see the next month being another lost opportunity to really highlight the differences between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party. Swear to God, if Hillary Clinton takes the month of August and goes to Martha's Vineyard, I'm going to lose my mud. This is going to be a close election no matter what. Convincing the American people to hand the presidency back to a Democrat after eight years of peace and prosperity is going to be a tough sell--just look at 2000.

The mere fact that someone "disapproves" of a candidate does not mean they won't vote for them. On single issues, the voter will hold their nose and go with the candidate who appeals to their self-interest. There is really only about five percent of the vote in play, nationally, and there are a few states that are going to be tough for the Democrats to win. I would worry more about what's happening in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida than I would about whether or not Donald Trump can convince people in Idaho to vote for him. There are only a handful of states that matter in this decision, and everything else is just theater.


Popular posts from this blog

Democrats Are Trying to Save America

Never forget that Trump is a bum. A cheating, lying, stealing bum. He's the kind of bum that gives actual bums (who are usually down on their luck and doing the best they can) a bad name. He's a bum on purpose, you see, and that's the kind of bum that the American people want to see thrown out of office. He's never going to be presidential because he's just a goddamned bum, you see.

But, sometimes, I think the media is worse:
As Washington braces for this week’s expected vote to impeach President Donald Trump, partisan battle lines hardened on Sunday, with Democrats defending impeachment even if Trump isn’t removed from office and Republicans denouncing the integrity of the constitutional process.The Democratic-controlled House planned to vote Wednesday on two articles of impeachment against the Republican president, and the decision whether to make Trump the third U.S. president in history to be impeached was expected to play out along party lines. There is some d…

Spoiler Alert

Tulsi Gabbard is going to work very, very hard to re-elect Trump:
Tulsi Gabbard has been slowly edging toward leaving the Democratic Party and, it now seems more likely than not, launching a spoiler candidacy to peel disaffected left-wing votes away from the Democrats. Her “present” vote on impeachment, followed by a disavowal of what she called the “zero-sum mind-set the two political parties have trapped America in,” sets the stage for Gabbard to play the role of 2020’s Jill Stein.Left-wing anti-anti-Trumpism played an important role in the bizarre 2016 outcome.Die-hard Bernie activists, fired up with anger at the release of DNC emails stolen by Russians that purportedly showed the party had rigged the primary, demonstrated against the party outside its convention hall and tried to drown out the speakers inside with boos. Stein attacked Hillary Clinton from the left, then audaciously staged a grift-y fundraising scheme supposedly to hold recounts in the states she had labored to flip…

Trump Will Burn it All to the Ground

It is difficult to see how the latest war in the Middle East will end. I don't have any answers, and, really, no one else does, either.

Here's what people should pay attention to--this happened just as evidence of Trump's orders to the Department of Defense landed on the front page. This happened after the major holidays and just as we are beginning the 2020 primary season in earnest on the Democratic side (the GOP has decided to prevent another Pat Buchanan moment, circa 1992, from happening).

Every life that is lost is because of Trump's decisions.

Every penny that this increases the price of gas is a tax on the poor and allows people who regularly have access to Trump to maximize their profits.

Every American traveling overseas is less safe.

Everyone who cares about peace will be shouted down and marginalized because that is the media's job.

Every attempt to hold Trump accountable will probably fail because the GOP is complicit in all of his crimes.

Everyone ch…